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FERC Data Shows Fossil Fuels Are Failing


Biomass

Published on July 15th, 2020 |
by George Harvey

July 15th, 2020 by George Harvey 


This article first appeared at Green Energy Times website.

Image: Cynthia Shahan/CleanTechnica

Every week or so, I go to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) website to see if anything new is going on. A problem with this is that to make sense of anything, you have to be able to crunch numbers in your head and compare them with the numbers you saw on the last visit. It is all a very dull process that no one seems to want to bother with. In this case, the numbers came out with no fanfare on July 9. I just happened to notice them when they were already nearly a week old, but I am reporting on them because no one seems to have done so already.

For the first time, FERC is projecting a net decline of US fossil fuel capacity over the next three years. Here are relevant figures from the report issued on July 9 (PDF: https://bit.ly/2DLpAq7):

Highly Probable Additions

Retirements

Net Change

Coal

0

20696

-20696

Natural gas

23415

5935

17480

Oil

4

3986

-3982

Fossil fuels

-7198

Highly Probable Additions

Retirements

Net Change

Water

2063

7

2056

Wind

26798

239

26559

Biomass

191

67

124

Geothermal

213

35

178

Solar

26154

0

26154

Waste Heat

29

0

29

Renewables

55100

There are currently four FERC commissioners, all of whom were appointed by Donald Trump. They have been seen as having antipathy for renewable power and appear to have been pushing a fossil fuel agenda. I think it is fairly safe to assume that the projections of rapid growth of renewables and decline in fossil fuels capacity are not here because the commissioners are deep green believers.

We have arrived at the point where fossil fuels are going into decline, it would appear. Even with low oil and gas prices, and even with the federal government pushing a fossil fuels agenda, the future of fossil fuels looks bleak. The Trump administration did not save coal, which the president clearly wanted it to do. And now, it looks like it will not be able to save oil and gas.

To some extent, the decline of fossil fuels has resulted from public pressure. People have long recognized that their health requires clean air, and with our dependence on fossil fuels, very few of us breathe clean air. More recently, people have been getting organized to stop climate change. But those are not the only issues the fossil fuels industries have to deal with.

The cost of electricity from renewable generation has been falling, and it is not at a point where electricity from solar and wind plants is significantly less expensive than what we get from natural gas, coal, and nuclear facilities. This is especially worrying to those who sell…



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2020-07-15 17:19:33

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